奇怪的數據

匯金公司中糧地產中糧集團海馬國產車平點金基 2018-12-05

昨天就說熱氣球升空很快，後面的話沒說，其實道理是一樣的，升得快的東西跌得也快。昨日氣壯如牛的股市，今日就猶如霜打了一樣，一直在昨日收盤價下方折騰，一直到快收市了，才有點買盤進入，幾大指數都勉強上漲了零點幾。

最狠的似乎是汽車板塊，在關稅有可能下調的情況下，以及人民幣大幅升值的情況五，昨日汽車板塊、包括一些配件企業都是漲得很好的，其中海馬汽車(000572)還是漲停的！結果，今日海馬汽車的銷售快報就兜頭一盆涼水:11月份銷量同比下降79.77%！好傢伙，11月份的銷售量居然跌了快80%了。這意思是，過去一個月能賣100量，現在只能賣20輛了？！

看生產量更可憐，公司11月汽車生產量、銷售量分別為2433輛、2633輛，分別同比下降83.60%、79.77%。一個月就算24天吧，這麼大一個工廠，一天才生產100輛汽車？產能嚴重放空啊。

從該公司此前的數據看，其銷售滑坡已經有一段日子了。公司10月份產量為3034輛，同比下降76.13%；1-10月累計產量為54419輛，同比下降49.08%。10月銷量為3713輛，同比下降70.41%；1-10月銷量為59752輛，同比下降46.39%。可見越到年尾，生產與銷售的數據就越差。

難道全國人民都跟我一樣，不喜歡開車，喜歡走路加地鐵的環保出行方式了？

今天安凱客車也發佈產銷快報，11月份，產量是1069輛，銷量只有965輛。接近10%的產量沒有實現銷售。不過與10月份的數據相比，跌幅還是減少了。前十個月的產量下降18%，銷量下降20%，前11個月同比產量下降11.8%，銷量下降了15.4%。

而長安汽車的10月份快報也是產銷量大幅下滑的。

所以，別管油價是不是跌，人民幣是不是升值，產品銷售上不去的，還是不要去碰。畢竟我們的汽車行業，躺在高關稅的保護下已經過了多年的好日子了，現在面臨著車牌緊張，大家都想買好車的情況下，如果關稅再降，國產車企業是啥日子，估計不難想像。

令人不解的是，就像海馬汽車這樣的虧損公司，匯金公司在裡面當前十大股東倒是當得踏踏實實的，一直持有5504萬股，不動如山。

說起海馬，總感覺名字沒起好，本來汽車就如駿馬，合作方也是馬自達，有個馬字很正常，可是你說叫個海馬，馬在海里能跑得起來嗎？

還有一個陳年舊事，君安證券在被收購前，出了一些宣傳冊，封面上，居然把公司漂亮的LOGO都印在沙子上，當時看了心裡就感覺有點怪，這是暗示自己公司基礎不牢嗎？

事實上，今天提醒大家警惕個股拉高出貨除了部分股票漲停根本沒有業績支撐，要防止套牢盤拉高出貨以外，還有一個重要的原因，就是這兩天大股東減持的公司實在太多了。而且一減都是3%左右的大手筆減倉。現在市場每天換手這麼低，這些大股東持股成本低，現在藉著利好就想跑，所以我們小散要冷靜，不要盲目追高。下手前一定要看下是否有減持公告。

今天還有兩個消息放一塊看比較有意思，一個就是來自交易所的數據，今年北上資金的數量大大高於南下的資金，但是，這些資金卻並未能能阻止A股的下跌，而在港交所大幅下調企業IPO上市標準後，今年已經有130家港股新股破發，佔比高達70%。來自Wind數據顯示，今年在港上市企業186家，在港股上市本身估值並不高的情況下，破發公司多達130家。跌幅最大行業涵蓋綜合服務、消費品、紡織奢侈品、生物科技、在線教育等領域，這之中互聯網概念股市值波動性尤其大。

今日最震撼的消息當屬中糧硬撼監管層。

今日證監會居然通過了中糧地產購買大悅城地產的交易！要知道，這個收購計劃，在今年10月25日審核時，被證監會併購重組委認為交易標的資產定價公允性缺乏合理依據。結果人家中糧地產根本不為所動，堅持144億元收購其59.59%的股票價格是公允的。只不過補充了一條，就是公司與大悅城地產控股股東明毅有限公司簽訂盈利預測補償協議，其承諾大悅城地產2018-2020年累計扣非歸母淨利潤為18.91億元。另外，公司聘請第三方資產評估公司對大悅城地產進行估值，以此佐證交易定價的公允性。

然後又有券商發佈報告，稱按照所有者權益、歸母淨資產等指標來看，交易對價是公允的。因此在中糧未對交易對價、交易方式進行改動的情況下，這份重組居然事隔兩個月後就獲批了。

但是該股今日收盤價只有0.87港元，總市值僅123.81億港元，數據來源東方財富。

一家總市值才124億港元的上市公司，收購其6成股權（另有一說是收購佔大悅城地產已發行普通股股份總數的64.18%。），需要花費144億人民幣，還說沒有高估？那這個意思是這個股目前被嚴重低估了？

今日場內基金方面，比較令人高興的是，在成交量排名前十五的基金中，只有本人一直推薦的醫藥B這一隻基金的漲幅是超過4%的！券商b 的漲幅也超過了1%，其它基金的漲跌幅均在正負1%之內。可見專業分析的重要性！

平點金基已關聯訊飛快讀基金小程序~

雙語閱讀~

Strange data

Yesterday, it was said that the hot air balloon was quickly launched. The latter did not say it. In fact, the truth is the same. The things that rise quickly are falling fast. The stock market that was as strong as yesterday was like the frost. It has been tossing below yesterday's closing price, and it has been closing soon. Only a few buys have entered, and several major indexes have barely risen by a few.

The most embarrassing thing seems to be the auto sector. In the case of a possible downward adjustment of tariffs and a sharp appreciation of the renminbi, the auto sector, including some accessory companies, has risen very well yesterday, among which Haima Motor (000572) is a daily limit. of! As a result, today's hippocampus sales report has a cold water: sales in November fell 79.77% year-on-year! Good guys, the sales in November actually fell by 80%. This means that you can sell 100 in the past month, and now you can only sell 20 cars? !

Looking at the production volume is even more pitiful, the company's car production and sales in November were 2,433 vehicles and 2,633 vehicles, respectively, down 83.60% and 79.77%. Even 24 days a month, such a big factory, only 100 cars a day? The production capacity is severely emptied.

Judging from the company's previous data, its sales decline has been going on for some time. The company's output in October was 3,034 units, down 76.13% year-on-year; the cumulative output in January-October was 54,419 units, down 49.08% year-on-year. The sales volume in October was 3,713 units, down 70.41% year-on-year; the sales volume in January-October was 59,752 units, down 46.39% year-on-year. It can be seen that the data of production and sales will be worse as of the end of the year.

Is the people all over the country like me, do not like to drive, like to walk and add the subway's environmental travel mode?

Today, Ankai Bus also released a production and sales express. In November, the output was 1,069, and the sales volume was only 965. Nearly 10% of production did not achieve sales. However, compared with the October data, the decline has decreased. Production in the first ten months fell by 18%, sales fell by 20%, production in the first 11 months fell by 11.8%, and sales fell by 15.4%.

Chang'an's October Express also saw a sharp decline in production and sales.

So, don't worry if the price of oil is falling, whether the renminbi is going to appreciate, and the sales of the products are not going up, or don't touch it. After all, our automobile industry has been living under the protection of high tariffs for many years. Now, when the license plate is tense and everyone wants to buy a good car, if the tariffs fall again, the domestic car enterprises are embarrassed. It's not hard to imagine.

What is puzzling is that, like a loss-making company like Haima Motor, Huijin’s current top ten shareholders are actually steadfast, and they have been holding 55.04 million shares, which is not moving.

Speaking of the hippocampus, I always feel that the name is not good. Originally, the car is like a horse. The partner is also Mazda. There is a horse character that is normal, but you said that it is a seahorse. Can the horse run in the sea?

There is also an old thing. Before Junan Securities was released, some brochures were published. On the cover, the company’s beautiful LOGO was printed on the sand. At the time, I felt a bit strange, which hinted at my company. Is the foundation not strong?

In fact, today, we remind everyone to be wary of stocks pulling up. In addition to some stocks, there is no performance support in the daily limit. To prevent the shipment from pulling up, there is another important reason, that is, the company that reduced the shareholder of these two days is too too much. And a reduction is about 3% of the big hand to lighten up. Nowadays, the market is changing hands so low every day. These big shareholders have low shareholding costs. Now they want to run with good results. Therefore, we must calm down and don’t blindly chase after us. Be sure to check if there is a reduction announcement before you start.

Today, there are still two news pieces to look at. It is more interesting. One is the data from the exchange. The amount of funds in the north this year is much higher than that in the south. However, these funds have not stopped the decline of A shares.

After the Exchange severely lowered the IPO listing standards of enterprises, this year, 130 Hong Kong stocks broke the new shares by as much as 70%. According to data from Wind, 186 listed companies in Hong Kong this year, in the case of the Hong Kong stock market itself is not high valuation, breaking up the company as many as 130, accounting for up to 70%. The largest declines in the industry include integrated services, consumer goods, textile luxury goods, biotechnology, online education, etc. Among them, the Internet concept stock market value is particularly volatile.

The most shocking news today is the COFCO hard cover.

Today, the China Securities Regulatory Commission actually passed the transaction of COFCO Real Estate to purchase Joy City Real Estate! It should be noted that this acquisition plan, when reviewed on October 25 this year, was considered by the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the M&A and Restructuring Committee, to have a reasonable basis for the fairness of the underlying asset pricing.

As a result, COFCO Real Estate was simply unmoved, and it is fair to insist on the acquisition of its 59.59% stock price of 14.4 billion yuan. However, it added that the company signed a profit forecast compensation agreement with Mingyi Co., Ltd., the controlling shareholder of Joy City Real Estate Co., Ltd., which promised that Joy City Real Estate's accumulated net profit from non-returning mothers in the year of 2018-2020 was 1.891 billion yuan. In addition, the company hired a third-party asset appraisal company to value the Joy City property to prove the fairness of the transaction pricing.

Then there were brokers who issued a report saying that according to the indicators of owner's equity and net assets of the mother, the transaction consideration was fair. Therefore, in the case that COFCO did not change the transaction consideration and transaction method, the reorganization was approved two months later.

However, the stock closed at HK$0.87 today, with a total market capitalization of only HK$12,381 million. The data comes from Eastern Fortune.

A listed company with a total market capitalization of HK$12.4 billion acquired 60% of its shares (another one said that the acquisition accounted for 64.18% of the total number of issued ordinary shares of Joy City Real Estate.), which cost 14.4 billion yuan, and said it was not overvalued. ? That means that this stock is currently seriously undervalued?

In today's on-market fund, it is quite gratifying that among the top 15 funds in the volume, only the medicine B that I have been recommending has risen more than 4%! The increase of brokerage b also exceeded 1%, and the growth rate of other funds was within plus or minus 1%. Visible the importance of professional analysis!